Angus Reid Public Opinion
ARPO has successfully tested its online methodology in nine recent democratic processes, all of them in Canada.
During the Canadian 2008 federal ballot, Angus Reid Public Opinion was the only company to conduct electoral surveys online. In the end, ARPO’s last poll before the election was the most accurate amongst Canadian pollsters, predicting the outcome within less than two percentage points from the actual result for each of the five contending political parties (read the Press Release).
Since 2006, Angus Reid Public Opinion has covered eight provincial elections in Canada—more than any other pollster in the country—and the results have accurately predicted the outcome of each of these democratic processes. ARPO’s record of accuracy include provincial ballots in:
Contact Information
Angus Reid Public Opinion has plans to expand its election-related polling to the United Kingdom and the United States in 2010. Expect more on this soon. For more information about our experience covering elections, please contact:
Mario Canseco
Vice President, Public Affairs
+1 604 647 3570
mario.canseco@angus-reid.com
October 2008 Canadian Federal Election
Prediction and Results – National
|
Actual Results |
ARPO Surveys |
|
2008 Election |
Oct 11-13, 2008 |
Oct 9-10, 2008 |
| Conservative Party |
37.6% |
37% |
38% |
| Liberal Party |
26.2% |
27% |
28% |
| New Democratic Party |
18.2% |
20% |
19% |
| Bloc Quebecois |
10% |
9% |
9% |
| Green Party |
6.8% |
7% |
6% |
March 2007 Quebec Provincial Election
Prediction and results
|
Actual Results |
ARPO Surveys |
| Liberal Party |
33% |
31% |
| Action démocratique du Québec (ADQ) |
31% |
30% |
| Parti Québécois (PQ) |
28% |
29% |
May 2007 Manitoba Provincial Election
Prediction and results
|
Actual Results |
ARPO Surveys |
| New Democratic Party (NDP) |
48% |
49% |
| Conservative Party |
38% |
37% |
| Other |
14% |
15% |
October 2007 Ontario Provincial Election
Prediction and results
|
Actual Results |
ARPO Surveys |
| Liberal Party |
42% |
40% |
| Conservative Party |
32% |
34% |
| New Democratic Party (NDP) |
17% |
19% |
| Green Party |
8% |
7% |
November 2007 Saskatchewan Provincial Election
Prediction and results
|
Actual Results |
ARPO Surveys |
| Saskatchewan Party |
52% |
52% |
| New Democratic Party (NDP) |
37% |
35% |
| Liberal Party |
10% |
12% |
| Other |
2% |
2% |
March 2008 Alberta Provincial Election
Prediction and results
|
Actual Results |
ARPO Surveys |
| Conservative Party |
53% |
43% |
| Liberal Party |
26% |
28% |
| New Democratic Party (NDP) |
9% |
13% |
| Wildrose Alliance Party |
7% |
10% |
| Green Party |
5% |
7% |
December 2008 Quebec Provincial Election
Prediction and results
|
Actual Results |
ARPO Surveys |
| Liberal Party |
42% |
42% |
| Parti Québécois (PQ) |
35% |
36% |
| Action démocratique du Québec |
16% |
13% |
| Québec Solidaire |
4% |
5% |
| Green Party |
2% |
3% |
May 2009 British Columbia Provincial Election
Prediction and results
|
Actual Results |
ARPO Surveys |
| Liberal Party |
46% |
44% |
| New Democratic Party (NDP) |
42% |
42% |
| Green Party |
8% |
10% |
| Conservative Party |
2% |
2% |
| Other |
2% |
2% |
June 2009 Nova Scotia Provincial Election
Prediction and results
|
Actual Results |
ARPO Surveys |
| New Democratic Party (NDP) |
45% |
47% |
| Liberal Party |
27% |
26% |
| Conservative Party |
24% |
23% |
| Green Party |
2% |
3% |
| Other |
1% |
1% |
